Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.533194 4.075629 4.669933 5.368905 6.168022 7.052670 8.105863
2025-02-02 2.963306 3.719879 4.616966 5.757190 7.166025 8.847863 11.006307
2025-02-09 2.449213 3.312062 4.408573 5.899915 7.870944 10.382064 13.819379
2025-02-16 2.043241 2.954747 4.187481 5.968778 8.468385 11.841656 16.729107
2025-02-23 1.670898 2.569883 3.857006 5.822554 8.734917 12.875160 19.188850
2025-03-02 1.353965 2.204819 3.488922 5.552200 8.765705 13.556330 21.210077
2025-03-09 1.173733 2.013567 3.343271 5.580719 9.226087 14.897927 24.346235
2025-03-16 0.994997 1.793351 3.115969 5.440402 9.391141 15.789019 26.870584
2025-03-23 0.926515 1.746082 3.160411 5.745047 10.307639 17.964969 31.696544
2025-03-30 0.848015 1.667681 3.138278 5.927397 11.030872 19.889815 36.304654
2025-04-06 0.756879 1.551128 3.030689 5.939041 11.447426 21.323393 40.204357
2025-04-13 0.641681 1.370126 2.778678 5.647328 11.268740 21.673376 42.186265
2025-04-20 0.599042 1.330495 2.796340 5.884555 12.135955 24.062283 48.271528
2025-04-27 0.577133 1.330731 2.893015 6.291598 13.385276 27.309591 56.360060
2025-05-04 0.531796 1.273309 2.863795 6.436732 14.126371 29.655758 62.951652
2025-05-11 0.485161 1.205426 2.802727 6.505438 14.715925 31.761872 69.290693
2025-05-18 0.426766 1.100622 2.645983 6.343000 14.789657 32.816825 73.568484
2025-05-25 0.367316 0.983140 2.443294 6.047378 14.528886 33.130462 76.289501
2025-06-01 0.336013 0.930647 2.384424 6.077135 15.005600 35.080717 82.776909
2025-06-08 0.297842 0.854036 2.256661 5.924120 15.036698 36.044863 87.161087
2025-06-15 0.289324 0.855243 2.321689 6.254331 16.261083 39.838708 98.407182
2025-06-22 0.274508 0.836697 2.333795 6.451940 17.183383 43.025103 108.558462
2025-06-29 0.252557 0.794261 2.277513 6.464416 17.642243 45.159536 116.417459